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UPDATE NO. 2 -- So I have data that quantifies how the GOP did so well in early voting Monday. Take a look at this chart:   Site    Dem                NP          Rep       Total     Margin Sun City Aliante 618 317 713 1648 -95 Desert Vista 543 328 981 1852 -438 Moapa Valley 252 185 834 1271 -582 Boulder City 533 288 920 1741 -387 Sun City Anthem 461 353 822 1636 -361 Total 2407 1471 4270 8148 -1863     So...
President Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 6 points in Nevada and Sen. Dean Heller has a 1-point lead over Rep. Shelley Berkley, according to a new poll taken over the weekend. The survey, conducted by Democratic pollster Lisa Grove for Project New America/US Action, was of 500 likely voters on Saturday and Sunday. The margin of error is 4.4 percentage points. (I have seen the poll but was not given permission to post it.) Obama is up 49 percent to 43 percent in the survey. Among the 23 percent...
It occurred to me while talking to a reporter from CBS News about the election that Nevada is potentially anomalous in two races of national import: 1. How in the world in a state with arguably the worst economy in the country is the president even close, much less ahead? Mitt Roimney should be winning by double digits in a state where the unemployment rate is 50 percent higher than the national average and the housing boom turned into a housing implosion? Answer: The Democratic machine and the...
That's how you answered the site poll. It wasn't close: 57 percent of you said Gov. Brian Sandoval will run for the U.S. Senate in 2016 -- either against Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, or someone else if Reid retires. More than 400 people participated. Very sceintific. A new poll is up about the president's margin in Clark County.      
Turnout slowed on Sunday in Clark County, with only about 24,000 people going to the polls and the Democrats adding fewer voters (3,000) to their lead than any day so far. So five days of early voting left and the state of play: The Democrats have a lead, but not one that guarantees victory for President Obama. Republicans, though, have to be worried about Washoe County, where the Democrats have been building a small lead -- it's about 1,600 votes or so now. Republicans will win Election Day...
In a piece that posted on POLITICO a short time ago, reporters Anna Palmer and John Bresnahan write that during a recent conference call, "Romney pollster Neil Newhouse told participants that he 'was skeptical' about the GOP challenger’s chances in Pennsylvania and Nevada." They also point out that Newhouse's comments "contradicted the assessment Friday by Rich Beeson, Romney’s political adviser, in an interview with POLITICO where he asserted that while Nevada 'has been the toughest nut for us...
  Good morning, everyone. It’s hard to believe that there is only one more week of campaigning left. Would you believe me if I told you I am going to miss it? Actually, what I am looking forward to most in the post-11/6 world: Sleep. And lots of it. Who’s with me? Rushing this morning because: National TV alert -- I’ll be on MSNBC about 8:25 AM PT talking about that NBC/Marist poll with Thomas Roberts. What’s below: New early voting data, a CD3 debate and a trivia question about a fiery...
  Good morning, everyone. The Teen is not pleased. She excitedly trekked with a friend to Doolittle Park to see Katy Perry (“We’re leaving after that, Dad; we’re not staying for the president.” “Why?” “I already met him.”) But, she informed me on returning home: The acoustics were not good. And, yes, she left before the president gave his stump speech. Ah, the standards of teenagers. We have NBC/WSJ results for NV coming out tonight. It was 49-47, Obama, and 49-43, Heller, a month ago. Will it...

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