Monthly archive
THE NEVADA INDEPENDENT IS COMING SOON!
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Much has been made of the high Latino vote in Nevada helping Hillary Clinton to a rare win a battleground state, and Catherine Cortez Masto to victory in the U.S. Senate race.
It was significant, but how significant?
Conflicting data already has emerged via entrance and exit polls.
Here’s what has been done:
PRESIDENTIAL
►Exits: The Nevada exit polls indicated Latino turnout here was 18 percent, which is what they indicated about 2012. That’s...
THE NEVADA INDEPENDENT IS COMING SOON!
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You may think the person most responsible for Sen. Patty Farley now caucusing with the Democrats is Aaron Ford, the newly minted majority leader.
He’s not.
Michael Roberson is.
That’s right. The state Senate GOP leader, who has had an oil and water relationship with Farley for a long time, ensured that she had almost no choice to leave the caucus and become a nonpartisan lawmaker, the first in a half-century. And it began late last week,...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
PREDICTIONS!
MY INSIDER PREDICTIONS
Electoral college - 290 Clinton, 248 Trump - but let's be honest, anything is possible. This election is about so much more than candidates. It really feels like a referendum on the direction of a nation. It's calling the question on what's been done over the last eight years and responding to the fear of change. As multiculturalism sets in to the fabric of America, more and more fear and insecurity pokes its head out,...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
1. Insiders’ take on early voting so far
2. Insiders’ take on community benefits agreement for stadium
3. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week
►Lots of brutal stuff on the CBA, with this the most: Color me extremely cynical. CBAs are like a Match.com date: everything looks great--picture, profile, mutual interests--but usually, after you go out with them, you chalk it up as a horrible experience with someone that was just looking to screw you. That doesn...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
1. Some contribution fun facts
2. Insider predictions
3. Stadium session post-mortem
4. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week
My insiders came though, as usual, especially on stadium session post-morteM:
►The broad view: Barring a miracle, the race for President is over. All that matters now is the fight for the Senate (the House will probably be closer, but a loss of Republican control is a Sanders-esque dream). Senate races in North Carolina,...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
1. Special session nuggets
2. Voter registration: The September update
3. Insiders on the special
4. Rate from least to most likely:
A. Victoria Seaman loses
B. Cresent Hardy wins
C. Jacky Rosen wins
D. Pot legalization wins
5. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week
My insiders seem confident the session will be over by Friday, with everything passed as proposed, or some reasonable facsimile thereof. Most also think Victoria Seaman will win, and a...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
1. Special session update
2. Political fallout from the school choice decision? Campaign 2016? Session 2017?
3. Could Ruben Kihuen lose? Barlow-Ramirez connection have any effect?
4. Does a unified gaming industry ensure the stadium and convention center expansion both pass?
5. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week
Great stuff from my insiders – those who would know seem to think it’s a long shot to have school choice on the special session agenda. Most...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
1. Some exclusive polling numbers
2. Crystal balls still the same – my insiders four weeks out from early voting
3. Prediction of the week: How many Democrats in each house come 2017?
4. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week
Good stuff from my insiders, including slight majority who think GOP keeps Senate, some who think Dems only get to 22 in Assembly. (I’m hoping for 21-21.) Many say the major races will be close, especially U.S. Senate. Is this, finally...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT
This week:
1. A deep dive into recent polling numbers
2. Crystal balls on the stadium: Date of special, length of special, number of "no" votes (names for bonus)?
3. The PUC and the energy compromise
4. It's December 2017. What's most likely in order and why?
A. You could be attending a Las Vegas Raiders game.
B. Dean Heller will have announced his candidacy for governor.
C. Brian Sandoval will no longer be governor.
D. Sheldon Adelson will have sold the RJ.
5....